Europe already has one foot in
‘Japanese” deflation grave
“The debt deflation theory” by
professor Irving Fisher would take EU authorities far
in the battle against rising debt. As the
American Revolution has shown, deflation is an
underestimated danger with the
potential to lead to economic disaster. If total debt
grows too high, as happens in Western Europe,
deflation gets mortal. The eurostat
index depicts that deflation has dropped. The tendency of
falling prices is seen in
many countries. Similar to Japan’s crisis, the eurozone economy
is in endangered by
high debt ratios and sustained deflation. Zsolt Darvas from the
Brussels think tank
Bruegel equates deflation with bleakness. He accuses the European approach of the
debt crisis and mentions the dilemma of states being pushed to “internal
devaluations”.
Vicious dynamics such as the “denominator effect” are witnessed
in countries like Italy,
where debt rises faster than GDP. The same is true for
private debt, where with crash diets for erred
states, economic self destruction
was only enhanced. For Mr Darvas, let inflation elevate
means escaping
from the deflationary spiral. Responsible for money shifting to Germany is the
ECB
and non counteracting member states which fear Germany would leave the eurozone.
Europe hope for global growth to fight the deflation virus.
Comments & Corrections
First of all, I thinks that the author and the newspaper in which the article was
published should be mentioned at the beginning. There is no logical structure in the
summary, it reads like a nice story but it is not clearly structured. I also think that
there are several things that should be in the summary that were left out and that
there are many unimportant facts included in the summary. One example for this is
Irvin Fisher, he is not mentioned very often in the article, so I do not think that he
needs to be in the summary. I also think that Zsolt Darvas should not be in there.
I like it that the summary states that deflation is very dangerous, but I think that
maybe the path to that deflation should be explained.What I do not understand is
that the summary says that deflation has dropped. It should be the other way around.
The article is about the danger of too high deflation in Europe.
If I had to correct this summary, I would rewrite the whole thing because I can not
make sense of the structure and the logic of the writer.
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