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Donnerstag, 2. Januar 2014

My corrected Telegraph summary


Before
The article „Europe has one foot in 'Japanese' deflation grave” published on the 23th of October in “The Telegraph” and written by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, outlines the European deflation crisis. It explains that Europe is slipping towards the deflation problem Japan is in right now. France, Italy, Spain and other European countries are in the beginnings of a deflation crisis already while some rich European countries like Germany seem still unaffected. Yet inflation is too low and dropping towards zero percent throughout Europe. Deflation can cause extremely dangerous runaway debt which countries have no chance of ever paying back. One possible solution for this problem is raising the inflation rate but yet unaffected countries like Germany are not in favor of this proposal. The author then suggests that France, Italy, Spain and Club Med allies should force Germany to implement reflation policies because this seems to be the desperately needed solution. Instead of changing policies, however, Europe is doing nothing to escape the disaster. They hope for global growth to save them, even though this is far from secure. To conclude, Europe is far from safe from a serious financial crisis and is doing nothing to stop it.

After
The article "Europe has one foot in 'Japanese' deflation grave" published on the 23th of October in "The Telegraph" and written by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, outlines the European deflation crisis.
It explains that Europe is slipping towards the deflation problem Japan is currently in. France, Italy, Spain and other European countries are in the beginnings of a deflation crisis already while some rich European countries like Germany seem still unaffected. Yet inflation is too low and dropping towards zero percent throughout Europe.
Deflation can cause extremely dangerous runaway debt which countries have no chance of ever paying back. One possible solution for this problem is raising the inflation rate but yet unaffected countries like Germany are not in favor of this proposal.
The author then suggests that France, Italy, Spain and Club Med allies should force Germany to implement reflation policies because this seems to be the desperately needed solution. Instead of changing policies, however, Europe is doing nothing to escape the disaster. They hope for global growth to save them, even though this is far from secure.
To conclude, Europe is far from safe from a serious financial crisis and is doing nothing to stop it.

Sonntag, 17. November 2013

Summary Correction


Europe already has one foot in ‘Japanese” deflation grave 

“The debt deflation theory” by professor Irving Fisher would take EU authorities far 
in the battle against rising debt. As the American Revolution has shown, deflation is an
underestimated danger with the potential to lead to economic disaster. If total debt 
grows too high, as happens in Western Europe, deflation gets mortal. The eurostat 
index depicts that deflation has dropped. The tendency of falling prices is seen in 
many countries. Similar to Japan’s crisis, the eurozone economy is in endangered by 
high debt ratios and sustained deflation. Zsolt Darvas from the Brussels think tank 
Bruegel equates deflation with bleakness. He accuses the European approach of the 
debt crisis and mentions the dilemma of states being pushed to “internal 
devaluations”. Vicious dynamics such as the “denominator effect” are witnessed 
in countries like Italy, where debt rises faster than GDP. The same is true for 
private debt, where with crash diets for erred states, economic self destruction 
was only enhanced. For Mr Darvas, let inflation elevate means escaping 
from the deflationary spiral. Responsible for money shifting to Germany is the ECB 
and non counteracting member states which fear Germany would leave the eurozone. 
Europe hope for global growth to fight the deflation virus.

Comments & Corrections

First of all, I thinks that the author and the newspaper in which the article was 
published should be mentioned at the beginning. There is no logical structure in the 
summary, it reads like a nice story but it is not clearly structured. I also think that 
there are several things that should be in the summary that were left out and that
there are many unimportant facts included in the summary. One example for this is
Irvin Fisher, he is not mentioned very often in the article, so I do not think that he
needs to be in the summary. I also think that Zsolt Darvas should not be in there.
I like it that the summary states that deflation is very dangerous, but I think that 
maybe the path to that deflation should be explained.What I do not understand is 
that the summary says that deflation has dropped. It should be the other way around. 
The article is about the danger of too high deflation in Europe.
If I had to correct this summary, I would rewrite the whole thing because I can not
make sense of the structure and the logic of the writer.